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tokyohotn0458》简介:

 守望的天空,青岛一老人走失离家40小时 警民接力助其回家,n0642,四是以中日友好医院远程医疗网络为代表的远程医疗协作网。乱论小说,财税改革措施将加快落地 增值税税率今年简并至三档,岳母的乳房,TheannouncementbyBritishPrimeMinisterTheresaMayonApril18thatshewould,subjecttoaparliamentaryvote,becallinganearlygeneralelectiontobeheldonJune8,hasshockedthecountry'spoliticalestablishment,andpromptednewquestionsoverthecountry'sfutureoutsidetheEuropeanUnion.BrexitisMay'sofficialreasonforreversingherearlierpledgenottoholdanearlyelection.TheprimeministerhopestoincreasethenumberofConservativemembersofparliament(MPs),andthusclaimafreshmandatefortakingBritainoutoftheEU.AConservativewinwouldlikelysilencethenumerousvoicesinBritainwhocurrentlyarguethatwhiletheprimeministermayhaveamandatetotriggertheprocessofleavingtheEUthankstolastyear'sreferendumresult,shedoesnothaveamandatetotakethecountryoutofboththeEUandthebloc'ssinglemarket––theso-called"hardbrexit"."ThecountryiscomingtogetherbutWestminsterisnot,"sheclaimed,inadigatmembersofbothHousesofParliamentwhoremainopposedtobrexit.TheleadersofBritain'soppositionpoliticalpartiesquicklyhittheairwavestoclaimtheywerereadyforanelection.Buttheyarenot,andTheresaMayknowsit.Infact,themainoppositionparties––theLabourPartyandLiberalDemocrats––arewoefullyunpreparedtotakeontheConservatives.WhileBritishpoliticiansusuallyclaimtheypaynoattentiontoopinionpolls,it'shighlyunlikelytheprimeministerisnotmotivatedbyrecentpollswhichputherparty18to20pointsaheadofthestrugglingLabourParty.TheabysmalratingsofLabour'sleader,JeremyCorbyn,thedividedstateofhisparty,alongwiththeshrunkenLiberalDemocrats,havemadethetemptationtotryandcashinontheapparentopportunitytoomuchtoignore.Mayfaceslimitedanddisorganizedoppositionandsheintendstotakefulladvantage.Maywillgotothecountryseekingafreshmandatetodeliverbrexit,andherintentions––totakethecountryoutoftheEUandthesinglemarket––willbeclearandeasytopresenttovoters.ForpeoplewhovotedtoremainintheEU,theelectionpresentsanewopportunitytodebatethetermsofbrexitandopposethe"hardbrexit"theConservativePartyintendstodeliver.Yetvoterslookingtoblockbrexitwillstruggletofindaneffectivepartytosupport.UnlesslargenumbersofConservativeremainsupportersdeserttheprimeministeroverherbrexitpolicy,votersopposedtotheConservativeswillhavetounitebehindasinglepartytokeepMayoutofDowningStreet.Thisisunlikely.Atpresent,theLiberalDemocratsseemthebestplacedtoofferacoherentalternativetotheformofbrexitMayisoffering.Theyhaverecentlywonaby-electionandclaimtohavesignedupthousandsofnewmemberssincetheJune24referendumlastyear.Theirleader,TimFarron,iscommittedtokeepingBritaininthesinglemarket.YettheyaretaintedbytheirtimeworkingwiththeConservativePartyduringthe2010-2015coalitiongovernment,andcurrentlyholdjustnineparliamentaryseatscomparedtotheConservative's330.Yetit'stheLabourPartythatseemscertaintobethebigloserofthiselection.Indeed,thelukewarmcampaigningfortheremainsideduringthereferendumbythepartyleaderhasbeensingledoutasabigcontributoryfactortotheresult.Corbyn,whoispartyleaderthankstothesupportofpartymembersanditsaffiliatedtradeunions,but––crucially––nottheparty'sMPs,willalmostcertainlyfacetheendofhispoliticalcareeronJune9.AndwhilemanyLabourMPsmaybedelightedtoseeCorbyngone,thepartywilllikelybereducedtoashadowofitsformerself.TheoneunlikelybutvaguelyplausiblescenariothatmustsurelyconcerntheprimeministeristhatLabourandtheLiberalDemocratsbothdobetterthanexpectedresultinginahungparliament––nopartywinsenoughvotestoformagovernment.Outofthispoliticalmess,theremightbethepotentialforsomekindofpro-EUcoalitiontobecobbledtogether,perhapswiththeScottishNationalParty.However,TheresaMayissettofightanelectionagainsttheweakestoppositionsincethe1980s.Shewillalmostcertainlywin,althoughsheshouldtakenothingforgranted.Certaintiesarebeingturnedontheirheadallaroundtheworld,andpollingiscurrentlysufferingadistinctlackofcredibility.Butwhenvoterslookatthechoicesonoffer,theywillseeapartywithaclearvisionforapost-EUfuture,setagainstaLabourleaderwhocannotevencommandthesupportofhisownMPs,andanumberofsmallerpro-EUparties.Thisprimeministerislucky,andtheJuneelectionisherstolose.JamesSkinnerisacontributingeditoratChinaDailywithanMAinInternationalRelations.HehasaparticularinterestinBritishandAmericanpolitics,aswellasglobalsecurityissues.